Saturday, October 31, 2020

Full Moon Surprises And Election Day Illusions


 


We experienced a Full Moon today (October 31, 2020) conjunct transiting Uranus in Taurus. Since I’ve been looking at twitter and Presidential election polling, that is where my surprises have occurred. First, a final Des Moines Register Selzer poll of Iowa came out showing Trump with a seven point lead in Iowa. Their last poll about a month ago was showing a tossup in the race. This was a surprise to me because Selzer is the gold standard pollster for Iowa, and other highly regarded pollsters have been showing Biden with the lead in Iowa - as much as four points in the Monmouth poll. The poll is likely an outlier, but it certainly sent (political) twitter into a tailspin. Even the best pollsters produce outlier results every once in a blue Moon (see what I did there?)


A great deal of election litigation is going on in Texas this year. The latest is that the Texas Republican Party is asking a judge to invalidate 100K ballots in Harris County (Houston) as a result of curbside voting. I’m just surprised that they’re going that far. I knew voter suppression efforts were going on, but 100K ballots in one Texas county?!


On Election Day (Tuesday, November 3), the Moon is transiting Gemini. It will square transiting Neptune in Pisces in the afternoon. We aren’t likely to understand what we’re seeing then, and it is complicated by the transiting Mercury (in Libra) square to transiting Saturn (in Capricorn). This aspect is very good for exacting detail work, but not so much for seeing overall patterns. We may not be able to see the forest for the trees for a while. In addition, Mercury has been in apparent retrograde motion, and it turns direct earlier in the day.







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